Finance · Open for opinions
Which prediction market platform will have the highest total trading volume in the second half of 2026?
The global prediction market is expanding rapidly: Polymarket leads in liquidity and international markets, Kalshi dominates the… 20 opinions, 25% Kalshi
- Kalshi — 25%
- Polymarket — 25%
- Robinhood Prediction Markets — 25%
- Other platform — 25%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The global prediction market is expanding rapidly: Polymarket leads in liquidity and international markets, Kalshi dominates the regulated segment in the US, and Robinhood recorded record revenue of US$156 million in Q2 2026, surpassing its own crypto revenue.
Source: www.si.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base em dados públicos de volume de negociação agregado (em dólares) divulgados pelas próprias plataformas ou por relatório de analytics independente amplamente reconhecido (ex.: Dune Analytics, The Block) referente ao período julho–dezembro de 2026, publicado até 31/01/2027.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Kalshi has 25% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 75 points, a wrong one costs about 25.