Finance · Open for opinions
Will the combined monthly volume of Polymarket and Kalshi exceed $25 billion in any month through December 2026?
Monthly volume in prediction markets jumped from $1.2 billion in early 2025 to over $20 billion in January 2026, signaling an… 35 opinions, 63% Yes
- Yes — 63%
- No — 37%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 35 opinions
Resolution rules
Monthly volume in prediction markets jumped from $1.2 billion in early 2025 to over $20 billion in January 2026, signaling an accelerated growth trajectory.
Source: www.yahoo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Confirmado por relatórios públicos das plataformas, dados on-chain do Polymarket via Dune Analytics ou cobertura de veículos especializados (The Block, Bloomberg) registrando volume mensal acima de US$ 25 bilhões em qualquer mês até 2026-12-31.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 63% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 37 points, a wrong one costs about 63.