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Science · Open for opinions

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent in 2026 fall below 4 million km²?

PBS documentary on polar seas (Ages of Ice, Ep. 67 opinions, 66% No

  • Yes — 34%
  • No — 66%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 67 opinions

Resolution rules

PBS documentary on polar seas (Ages of Ice, Ep. 2) highlights warming and disappearing sea ice. Monitoring whether 2026 breaks historical milestones is relevant to the scientific community.

Source: www.pbs.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base no dado oficial de extensão mínima anual de gelo marinho ártico divulgado pelo National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) para o ano de 2026. O mínimo anual ocorre tipicamente em setembro e é confirmado em outubro/novembro.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 66% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 34 points, a wrong one costs about 66.

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Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent in 2026 fall below 4 million… — 66% No · VoxFi