Finance · Open for opinions
Will the central government's primary result (Treasury + Social Security + Central Bank) be in surplus in 2026?
The article published in JOTA highlights that economists gathered at the 19th Brazilian Congress of Law and Economics point to the… 86 opinions, 70% No
- Yes — 30%
- No — 70%
Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 86 opinions
Resolution rules
The article published in JOTA highlights that economists gathered at the 19th Brazilian Congress of Law and Economics point to the urgent need for fiscal adjustment in Brazil, signaling that the current scenario is not one of public accounts balance.
Source: www.jota.info
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolverá com base no relatório oficial de resultado fiscal primário do governo central divulgado pelo Tesouro Nacional referente ao exercício de 2026 (janeiro a dezembro). Fonte: Nota de Imprensa do Tesouro Nacional (tesouro.fazenda.gov.br). Superávit = receitas primárias maiores que despesas primárias no consolidado anual.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.