Science · Open for opinions
Will NOAA confirm a Super El Niño thermal anomaly (+2.0 °C or more) in the Pacific by 11/30/2026?
Considers official NOAA climate data and reports regarding the magnitude of the oceanic event between 10/11 and 11/30/2026. 79 opinions, 65% No
- Yes — 35%
- No — 65%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers official NOAA climate data and reports regarding the magnitude of the oceanic event between 10/11 and 11/30/2026.
Source: www.newscientist.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 11/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos anteriores não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o relatório oficial do Climate Prediction Center (CPC/NOAA) registrar índice ONI ou anomalia na região Niño 3.4 igual ou superior a +2,0 °C até 30/11/2026, conforme boletim divulgado no site oficial cpc.ncep.noaa.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.