Politics · Open for opinions
Will Republicans retain control of the US House of Representatives after the November 2026 midterm elections?
Kalshi and its co-founders are actively engaged in the 2026 midterm elections, encouraging users to trade on election outcomes and… 26 opinions, 62% Yes
- Yes — 62%
- No — 38%
Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 26 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi and its co-founders are actively engaged in the 2026 midterm elections, encouraging users to trade on election outcomes and making donations to candidates. The political prediction market is one of the fastest-growing segments of the platforms.
Source: www.notus.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Mercado resolve como 'Sim' se o Partido Republicano mantiver maioria absoluta de assentos na Câmara dos Representantes dos EUA após apuração oficial das eleições de meio de mandato de novembro de 2026, conforme divulgação oficial em house.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'. Em caso de apuração prolongada ou contestação judicial, o mercado aguarda resultado certificado.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.