Technology · Open for opinions
Which major tech company will launch the highest-rated AI model in public benchmarks in the fourth quarter of 2026?
Accelerated competition among major AI players, with increasingly autonomous models operating on the internet, robotics, and… 43 opinions, 30% OpenAI
- OpenAI — 30%
- Google (Gemini) — 28%
- Anthropic — 21%
- Meta — 12%
- Other — 9%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 43 opinions
Resolution rules
Accelerated competition among major AI players, with increasingly autonomous models operating on the internet, robotics, and military applications, intensifying the race for benchmark leadership.
Source: www.instagram.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve pela empresa cujo modelo de IA obtiver a maior pontuação média nos benchmarks MMLU, HumanEval e MATH (ou equivalentes aceitos pela comunidade), conforme publicado no ranking público Chatbot Arena (lmarena.ai) em 31/12/2026. Em caso de empate, prevalece o maior score no MMLU.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now OpenAI has 30% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 70 points, a wrong one costs about 30.