Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC take formal enforcement or restrictive action against prediction market platforms (Kalshi or Polymarket) by December 31, 2026?
A Fortune article dated 09/12/2026 reports concerns about 'big players' devastating prediction markets involving Trump Jr. 28 opinions, 79% No
- Yes — 21%
- No — 79%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 28 opinions
Resolution rules
A Fortune article dated 09/12/2026 reports concerns about 'big players' devastating prediction markets involving Trump Jr. and the CFTC, signaling growing regulatory pressure on the sector.
Source: fortune.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o CFTC publicar ordem oficial, ação de fiscalização, multa ou restrição formal contra Kalshi ou Polymarket até 31/12/2026, conforme comunicados publicados em cftc.gov. Resolve 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 79% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 21 points, a wrong one costs about 79.