Finance · Open for opinions
Will the USD/BRL exchange rate close below R$ 5.50 on the last business day of 2026?
The Brazilian real had accumulated an 8.4% appreciation against the dollar in 2026, and US Treasury yields and the global dollar… 89 opinions, 52% Yes
- Yes — 52%
- No — 48%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
The Brazilian real had accumulated an 8.4% appreciation against the dollar in 2026, and US Treasury yields and the global dollar retreated, according to Bloomberg Línea and Google Finance.
Source: www.bloomberglinea.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve Sim se a taxa de câmbio USD/BRL de referência (PTAX venda) divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil no último dia útil de 2026 for inferior a R$ 5,50. Resolve Não caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.