Finance · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Congress pass federal legislation regulating prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket by December 31, 2026?
According to a CNN report from 08/30/2026, the casino industry, 44 state attorneys general, indigenous tribes, and a bipartisan… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
According to a CNN report from 08/30/2026, the casino industry, 44 state attorneys general, indigenous tribes, and a bipartisan group in Congress are pushing for regulation of the Kalshi and Polymarket platforms, which move billions of dollars. The debate over the legal status of these platforms
Source: www.cnn.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução como 'Sim' se um projeto de lei voltado especificamente à regulação de mercados de previsão (prediction markets) for aprovado por ambas as câmaras do Congresso dos EUA e sancionado pelo presidente até 31/12/2026, conforme registro oficial do Congress.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.