World · Open for opinions
Will US annual inflation (CPI) for October 2026 be above 3.7%?
In September 2026, US inflation reached 3.7% per year—higher than expected—driven by increases in energy, food, and apparel prices,… 87 opinions, 57% Yes
- Yes — 57%
- No — 43%
Deadline: November 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
In September 2026, US inflation reached 3.7% per year—higher than expected—driven by increases in energy, food, and apparel prices, exacerbated by the war involving Iran. Real wages for Americans did not grow in Trump's second term, with prices and wages both rising.
Source: www.washingtonpost.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) divulgar que o índice CPI acumulado em 12 meses referente a outubro de 2026 superar 3,7%. A fonte é o relatório oficial do BLS (bls.gov), normalmente divulgado na segunda semana de novembro.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.