Technology · Open for opinions
Will major AI companies (OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google DeepMind) sign a formal agreement for coordinated slowdown in frontier model development by December 2026?
Dario Amodei (Anthropic) advocated for coordinated slowdown, with support from Sam Altman and Elon Musk for concerns about risks, but… 32 opinions, 91% No
- Yes — 9%
- No — 91%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 32 opinions
Resolution rules
Dario Amodei (Anthropic) advocated for coordinated slowdown, with support from Sam Altman and Elon Musk for concerns about risks, but critics accuse Anthropic of seeking only regulatory capture to consolidate its market position.
Source: gauchazh.clicrbs.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Existência de documento público assinado conjuntamente por representantes das três empresas (OpenAI, Anthropic e Google DeepMind) estabelecendo compromissos mensuráveis de desaceleração no desenvolvimento de modelos de IA frontier, divulgado até 31/12/2026 e verificável por fontes jornalísticas de referência.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 91% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 9 points, a wrong one costs about 91.