Finance · Open for opinions
Will the crisis in the STF prevent the approval of at least one central measure of the fiscal agenda in Congress by December 2026?
Citi analyst Leonardo Porto warned that the crisis in the STF could stall the fiscal agenda in Congress, in a scenario where public… 45 opinions, 58% No
- Yes — 42%
- No — 58%
Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 45 opinions
Resolution rules
Citi analyst Leonardo Porto warned that the crisis in the STF could stall the fiscal agenda in Congress, in a scenario where public debt grows 3 to 4 percentage points of GDP per year (Estadão, Sept/2026).
Source: www.estadao.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se nenhuma proposta classificada como 'agenda fiscal' pelo governo federal (controle de gastos, arcabouço, corte de despesas obrigatórias etc.) for aprovada em plenário do Senado ou da Câmara até 15 de dezembro de 2026, conforme registros oficiais das casas legislativas. Resolve 'Não' se ao menos uma medida for aprovada.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.