World · Open for opinions
Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% by March 2027?
A Fed official stated that the fight against inflation will likely require 'economic pain' in the form of higher unemployment,… 44 opinions, 70% No
- Yes — 30%
- No — 70%
Deadline: March 10, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 44 opinions
Resolution rules
A Fed official stated that the fight against inflation will likely require 'economic pain' in the form of higher unemployment, reinforcing the hawkish tone of the US central bank.
Source: www.ctvnews.ca
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se qualquer divulgação mensal do relatório de emprego (Employment Situation) do U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics entre outubro de 2026 e março de 2027 registrar taxa de desemprego superior a 5,0%. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.