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Will the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) released in November 2026 (referring to October) be higher than the one released in October 2026 (referring to September)?

US inflation has risen again driven by trade tariffs and supply shocks. 42 opinions, 57% Yes

  • Yes — 57%
  • No — 43%

Deadline: November 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 42 opinions

Resolution rules

US inflation has risen again driven by trade tariffs and supply shocks. With the newly announced interest rate hike and lingering cost pressures, the behavior of the CPI in the coming months is crucial for monetary policy and the midterm elections.

Source: www.standard.net

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base nos dados oficiais do Bureau of Labor Statistics (bls.gov). Compara a variação mensal do CPI geral de outubro de 2026 com a de setembro de 2026. 'Sim' se o CPI de outubro for maior.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.

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