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Science · Open for opinions

Will NASA's Swift Observatory make an uncontrolled atmospheric reentry before December 31, 2026?

NASA attempted to raise the orbit of the Swift Observatory to extend its lifespan, but the maneuver was not sufficient. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

NASA attempted to raise the orbit of the Swift Observatory to extend its lifespan, but the maneuver was not sufficient. With rescue ruled out, the telescope is expected to re-enter Earth's atmosphere in an uncontrolled manner.

Source: www.discovermagazine.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido como 'Sim' se a NASA ou o 18th Space Defense Squadron (Space-Track.org) confirmar oficialmente a reentrada atmosférica do Swift Observatory até 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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