Politics · Open for opinions
Will Trump say "Afghanistan / Afghan" before Nov 1, 2026?
If Afghanistan / Afghan, or a plural or possessive form of Afghanistan / Afghan, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at… 80 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM UTC · 80 opinions
Resolution rules
If Afghanistan / Afghan, or a plural or possessive form of Afghanistan / Afghan, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: kalshi.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
A verifiable fact decides the outcome, such as a final score, a price or an official announcement. Once it happens, the event is marked as resolved and the correct option is shown on this page.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.