Politics · Open for opinions
Will Democrats win control of the US Senate in the November 2026 midterm elections?
The 2026 midterm elections take place on November 3. 45 opinions, 60% Yes
- Yes — 60%
- No — 40%
Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 45 opinions
Resolution rules
The 2026 midterm elections take place on November 3. With the GOP holding a 53-47 majority, Democrats need a net gain of 4 seats. Key states: Michigan, Georgia, North Carolina, Texas, and Maine. Prediction markets show Democratic probabilities rising.
Source: federalnewsnetwork.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se o Partido Democrata obtiver pelo menos 50 assentos no Senado americano após as eleições de 3 de novembro de 2026, conforme projeção oficial consolidada pelas agências AP, NBC, CNN ou Fox News. 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.