Technology · Open for opinions
Will Polymarket surpass Kalshi in monthly trading volume in Q4 2026?
Kalshi holds superior volume after accelerated growth in 2026, while Polymarket leads in liquidity and variety of global markets. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi holds superior volume after accelerated growth in 2026, while Polymarket leads in liquidity and variety of global markets. The dispute between the two leading US prediction platforms is closely watched by investors and industry analysts.
Source: www.si.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se dados públicos agregados (DeFi Rate, The Block ou relatórios oficiais das plataformas) mostrarem que o volume mensal do Polymarket superou o da Kalshi em pelo menos um mês de outubro, novembro ou dezembro de 2026. Se ambas não divulgarem dados comparáveis, o mercado é anulado.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.