Politics · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. federal government approve official regulation on prediction market platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi by March 2027?
Trump has publicly declared support for federal control of platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi, sparking debate over regulation… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: March 7, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Trump has publicly declared support for federal control of platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi, sparking debate over regulation of the prediction market sector in the U.S.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se for assinada ou promulgada legislação ou regulação federal americana que estabeleça controle formal sobre plataformas de mercados de previsão (incluindo Polymarket e/ou Kalshi), conforme confirmado por fonte governamental oficial dos EUA (Congress.gov, CFTC ou Casa Branca) até 2027-03-07. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.