Finance · Open for opinions
Will the global monthly poll volume exceed $60 billion by November 30, 2026?
Consider monthly financial volume closures between 10/22 and 11/30 [3]. 85 opinions, 60% Yes
- Yes — 60%
- No — 40%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 85 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider monthly financial volume closures between 10/22 and 11/30 [3].
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 22/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Resolve como 'Sim' se o volume mensal negociado no setor de derivativos de eventos ultrapassar US$ 60 bilhões em qualquer mês fechado até 30/11/2026, conforme dados agregados divulgados pela CBS Sports, CFTC ou Dune Analytics. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.