Finance · Open for opinions
Will the US PCE index (annual change) for October 2026 come in above 3.6%?
PCE accelerated from 3.4% in August to 3.6% in September 2026, driven by oil prices above $100/barrel and the impacts of the Trump… 89 opinions, 55% Yes
- Yes — 55%
- No — 45%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
PCE accelerated from 3.4% in August to 3.6% in September 2026, driven by oil prices above $100/barrel and the impacts of the Trump administration's tariffs. The Fed monitors this indicator as its main reference for interest rate decisions.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) divulgar o PCE de outubro de 2026 com variação anual superior a 3,6%. Fonte: comunicado oficial do BEA (bea.gov).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.