World · Open for opinions
Will the Fed raise interest rates again at the November or December 2026 meeting?
The Fed, under the leadership of Kevin Warsh, has just raised the rate by 0.25 percentage points to the 3.5%-3.75% range, the first… 42 opinions, 55% No
- Yes — 45%
- No — 55%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 42 opinions
Resolution rules
The Fed, under the leadership of Kevin Warsh, has just raised the rate by 0.25 percentage points to the 3.5%-3.75% range, the first hike since 2023, in response to persistent inflation exacerbated by tariffs. The future path of interest rates is uncertain.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base na decisão oficial do FOMC publicada no site do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov) nas reuniões de novembro e dezembro de 2026. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se a taxa de referência (federal funds rate) for elevada em qualquer uma dessas reuniões.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.