Finance · Open for opinions
Will US inflation (annual CPI) be below 4% in the December 2026 reading?
Fed's Barkin said he is 'open' to the possibility of a rapid drop in inflation, but other officials warn that prices remain hot even… 52 opinions, 69% No
- Yes — 31%
- No — 69%
Deadline: January 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 52 opinions
Resolution rules
Fed's Barkin said he is 'open' to the possibility of a rapid drop in inflation, but other officials warn that prices remain hot even excluding energy, in part due to the Iran war.
Source: thehill.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Dado oficial do CPI (variação anual) publicado pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) referente ao mês de dezembro de 2026. Se o índice for inferior a 4,0%, resolve como Sim.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 69% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 31 points, a wrong one costs about 69.