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Will Kalshi file or launch a WTI oil contract with the CFTC by 10/31/2026?

After Polymarket launches oil contracts on the Perps platform, the market monitors Kalshi's regulated response. 15 opinions, 67% Yes

  • Yes — 67%
  • No — 33%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 15 opinions

Resolution rules

After Polymarket launches oil contracts on the Perps platform, the market monitors Kalshi's regulated response.

Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 04/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos anteriores não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Kalshi protocolar oficialmente perante a CFTC ou lançar contrato de previsão/futuros de petróleo bruto WTI até 31/10/2026, conforme registros da CFTC (cftc.gov) ou comunicado no site kalshi.com. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 67% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 33 points, a wrong one costs about 67.

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Will Kalshi file or launch a WTI oil contract with the CFTC by… — 67% Yes · VoxFi