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World · Open for opinions

Will there be a formal ceasefire agreement between the US/Israel and Iran by December 31, 2026?

After six months of war, a report from 08/21/2026 indicates that Washington has failed to strangle the Iranian economy. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

After six months of war, a report from 08/21/2026 indicates that Washington has failed to strangle the Iranian economy. Ceasefire negotiations remain uncertain.

Source: english.elpais.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se um cessar-fogo formal ou acordo de cessação de hostilidades for publicamente anunciado e reconhecido pelos governos dos EUA, Israel e Irã até 31/12/2026. Fontes: comunicados oficiais da Casa Branca, governo israelense e iraniano, confirmados por organismos internacionais (ONU). Na ausência de anúncio oficial até a data, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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