Finance · Open for opinions
Will New York's investigation into Kalshi and Polymarket result in formal regulatory action by the end of 2026?
In July 2026, New York City opened an investigation into Kalshi and Polymarket, while a judge in Washington ordered Kalshi to… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 29, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In July 2026, New York City opened an investigation into Kalshi and Polymarket, while a judge in Washington ordered Kalshi to suspend most bets in the state. The sector faces growing regulatory pressure in multiple states.
Source: www.investing.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se a Cidade de Nova York ou regulador estadual de Nova York (ex: NYDFS) emitir oficialmente multa, ordem de cessação de operações, termo de ajuste ou outro ato regulatório formal contra Kalshi ou Polymarket, conforme anúncio publicado no site do órgão competente, até 29/12/2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.