Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil have its sovereign rating downgraded by at least one of the three major agencies (S&P, Moody's, or Fitch) by February 8, 2027?
Arko Advice pointed out in August 2026 that Brazil's biggest risk is the political-institutional pillar, aggravated by the impact of… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 8, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Arko Advice pointed out in August 2026 that Brazil's biggest risk is the political-institutional pillar, aggravated by the impact of scandals such as the Master Case, which increases the perception of fiscal and institutional risk in the country.
Source: www.cnnbrasil.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se S&P Global Ratings, Moody's ou Fitch Ratings publicarem rebaixamento do rating soberano do Brasil (em moeda estrangeira de longo prazo) até 08/02/2027. Fonte: sites oficiais das agências (standardandpoors.com, moodys.com, fitchratings.com).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.