Politics · Open for opinions
Will the US Congress pass specific federal legislation regulating political event prediction markets by March 2027?
After Kalshi won a lawsuit against the CFTC, the sector is growing without a consolidated federal regulatory framework, generating… 39 opinions, 87% No
- Yes — 13%
- No — 87%
Deadline: March 16, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 39 opinions
Resolution rules
After Kalshi won a lawsuit against the CFTC, the sector is growing without a consolidated federal regulatory framework, generating public debate on regulation and accountability.
Source: sailgp.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Aprovação de projeto de lei pelo Congresso americano e sanção presidencial especificamente regulando mercados de previsão de eventos políticos, conforme registro oficial em Congress.gov até 2027-03-16.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 87% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 13 points, a wrong one costs about 87.