Finance · Open for opinions
Will the total volume bet in US prediction markets (Kalshi + Polymarket combined) exceed $60 billion in 2026?
In 2025, Kalshi and Polymarket together recorded more than $40 billion wagered. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In 2025, Kalshi and Polymarket together recorded more than $40 billion wagered. With the sector's rapid growth and new billion-dollar investments in 2026, analysts are watching whether the sector will reach a new record.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução como 'Sim' se relatórios anuais oficiais ou publicações verificadas do Kalshi e/ou Polymarket, ou reportagens do Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg ou Reuters, confirmarem que o volume total apostado nas duas plataformas juntas ultrapassou US$ 60 bilhões ao longo do ano calendário de 2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.