World · Open for opinions
Will US annual inflation (CPI) exceed 4% in any monthly reading by December 2026?
US inflation reached 3.4% per year through August 2026, driven mainly by energy prices due to the war in Iran. 62 opinions, 58% No
- Yes — 42%
- No — 58%
Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 62 opinions
Resolution rules
US inflation reached 3.4% per year through August 2026, driven mainly by energy prices due to the war in Iran.
Source: www.bbc.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) publicar qualquer relatório mensal do CPI entre outubro e dezembro de 2026 com variação anual superior a 4,0%. Fonte oficial: bls.gov/cpi.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.