Science · Open for opinions
Will a G4 or G5 geomagnetic storm (Kp index ≥ 8) recorded by NOAA cause documented disruptions to commercial flights by February 13, 2027?
A study published in the Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate warns that extreme space weather events can expose passengers to… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 13, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
A study published in the Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate warns that extreme space weather events can expose passengers to high levels of radiation and cause disruptions to onboard systems and flight routes, increasing scientific and regulatory attention on the topic.
Source: www.newswise.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se a NOAA Space Weather Center registrar oficialmente uma tempestade geomagnética G4 ou G5 no período e ao menos uma companhia aérea ou autoridade de aviação civil documentar publicamente perturbações operacionais atribuídas ao evento. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.