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Which party will win control of the US House of Representatives in the November 2026 midterms?

With about six weeks until the midterm elections, high inflation and the rising cost of living are dominating the economic… 45 opinions, 51% Republicans

  • Democrats — 42%
  • Republicans — 51%
  • Undecided/Technical tie — 7%

Deadline: November 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 45 opinions

Resolution rules

With about six weeks until the midterm elections, high inflation and the rising cost of living are dominating the economic debate, which could influence the electorate's vote. The elections take place on November 3, 2026.

Source: www.nytimes.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base nos resultados oficiais certificados das eleições de meio de mandato de 2026, conforme apuração do Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives (clerk.house.gov). Mercado resolve pela legenda que obtiver maioria de assentos (218+).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Republicans has 51% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 49 points, a wrong one costs about 51.

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