Science · Open for opinions
Will the global space economy exceed $700 billion in annual revenue before 2030, according to a report by the World Economic Forum or equivalent body?
The 2024 World Economic Forum report projected the space economy at $1.8 trillion by 2035, cited by UC San… 45 opinions, 53% Will not exceed $700B by 2030
- Yes, before 2028 — 11%
- Yes, between 2028 and 2030 — 36%
- Will not exceed $700B by 2030 — 53%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 45 opinions
Resolution rules
The 2024 World Economic Forum report projected the space economy at $1.8 trillion by 2035, cited by UC San Diego as the basis for the space sector's transformative next decade.
Source: spacedaily.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução pelo primeiro relatório oficial do Fórum Econômico Mundial (weforum.org), Space Foundation ou organismo equivalente reconhecido que registre a economia espacial global acima de US$ 700 bilhões em um ano calendário. Se até 31/12/2026 nenhum dado apontar superação, o mercado é reavaliado. Caso nenhum relatório confirme até 2030, resolve na terceira opção.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Will not exceed $700B by 2030 has 53% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 47 points, a wrong one costs about 53.