Technology · Open for opinions
Will Polymarket be publicly recognized as the world's largest prediction market platform by March 2027?
Prospect Magazine described Polymarket as 'competing to be the world's largest prediction market platform' (source [2]), driven by… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: March 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Prospect Magazine described Polymarket as 'competing to be the world's largest prediction market platform' (source [2]), driven by post-2024 election growth and the more permissive regulatory stance of the Trump administration.
Source: www.prospectmagazine.co.uk
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se até 2027-03-01 ao menos duas fontes jornalísticas de referência (ex.: Bloomberg, Reuters, Financial Times ou Prospect Magazine) publicarem matéria afirmando que a Polymarket é a maior plataforma de mercados de previsão do mundo por volume acumulado anual. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.