Finance · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Supreme Court agree to hear a case related to the regulation of prediction markets?
According to recent sources, the issue of prediction market regulation has reached the doorstep of the U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: March 8, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
According to recent sources, the issue of prediction market regulation has reached the doorstep of the U.S. Supreme Court, in a context where states are trying to ban platforms while Kalshi and Polymarket grow rapidly.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a Suprema Corte dos EUA emitir writ of certiorari (certiorari granted) em caso diretamente relacionado à regulação de plataformas de mercados de previsão até 31 de março de 2027, conforme registro público no portal supremecourt.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.