Politics · Open for opinions
Will any U.S. state pass a law banning election betting on prediction market platforms by December 31, 2026?
The growth of prediction markets, especially Kalshi and Polymarket, has raised legal debate about how state election betting laws… 24 opinions, 54% No
- Yes — 46%
- No — 54%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 24 opinions
Resolution rules
The growth of prediction markets, especially Kalshi and Polymarket, has raised legal debate about how state election betting laws apply to these platforms. States have been evaluating new regulations in 2026.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução como 'Sim' se ao menos um estado dos EUA promulgar legislação explicitamente proibindo apostas em eleições em plataformas como Kalshi ou Polymarket até 31/12/2026, conforme confirmado por fonte oficial do legislativo estadual ou cobertura da NCSL (National Conference of State Legislatures).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 54% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 46 points, a wrong one costs about 54.