Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC take any formal regulatory action against Kalshi for insider trading by January 31, 2027?
In September 2026, Kalshi launched more than 200 internal investigations into insider trading and maintains a dedicated enforcement… 28 opinions, 79% No
- Yes — 21%
- No — 79%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 28 opinions
Resolution rules
In September 2026, Kalshi launched more than 200 internal investigations into insider trading and maintains a dedicated enforcement team; the survival of the prediction market model is described as threatened by the problem.
Source: abcnews.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se a Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) publicar em seu site oficial (cftc.gov) qualquer ação de enforcement, multa ou ordem formal contra o Kalshi relacionada a insider trading até 31 de janeiro de 2027. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 79% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 21 points, a wrong one costs about 79.