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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Kalshi appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court against the decision allowing states to regulate prediction markets as gambling?

On 08/28/2026, a U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

On 08/28/2026, a U.S. federal appeals court confirmed that states can regulate prediction markets as gambling, denying Kalshi's request to resume trading of sports and election events in Nevada. The decision represents a major setback for the industry.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se a Kalshi protocolar petição de certiorari ao Supremo Tribunal dos EUA (SCOTUS) contestando a decisão do tribunal federal de apelações até a data de fechamento. Fonte: registros públicos do SCOTUS (supremecourt.gov) ou comunicado oficial da Kalshi.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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