Politics · Open for opinions
Will the Brazilian government formally invoke the Reciprocity Law in negotiations with the US by December 2026?
According to XP Investimentos, the federal government views the Reciprocity Law as a negotiation tool with the US, signaling… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
According to XP Investimentos, the federal government views the Reciprocity Law as a negotiation tool with the US, signaling possible formal use of the legislation in bilateral trade talks.
Source: conteudos.xpi.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o governo federal publicar ato oficial (Diário Oficial da União, nota do Ministério das Relações Exteriores ou da Casa Civil) invocando formalmente a Lei da Reciprocidade como instrumento de negociação com os Estados Unidos até 31/12/2026. Resolve como 'Não' caso nenhum ato oficial seja publicado nesse sentido até a data de fechamento.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.