Finance · Open for opinions
Will the Selic rate end 2026 below 14.00% per year?
The Central Bank cut the Selic to 14.00% per year in August 2026, but left next steps open. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 11, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The Central Bank cut the Selic to 14.00% per year in August 2026, but left next steps open. The market debates whether the easing cycle will continue amid domestic demand pressure and fiscal spending by the Lula government.
Source: economia.uol.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve-se com a taxa Selic-meta fixada pelo Copom na última reunião de 2026 (prevista para dezembro), conforme comunicado oficial publicado em bcb.gov.br/copom. Mercado fecha em 2026-12-11.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.