Finance · Open for opinions
In which range will the federal government's gross debt as a percentage of GDP be at the end of December 2026, according to official Central Bank data?
Gross debt reached 82.5% of GDP in July 2026, a five-year record. 20 opinions, 25% Below 82%
- Below 82% — 25%
- Between 82% and 84% — 25%
- Between 84% and 86% — 25%
- Above 86% — 25%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Gross debt reached 82.5% of GDP in July 2026, a five-year record. Analysts debate whether the government will manage to stabilize the indicator or if it will continue on an upward trajectory until the end of the year.
Source: tvsimbrasil.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base no relatório de Nota para a Imprensa – Política Fiscal do Banco Central do Brasil referente a dezembro de 2026 (divulgado em geral até fevereiro do ano seguinte). O intervalo em que o percentual se enquadrar será a opção vencedora.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Below 82% has 25% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 75 points, a wrong one costs about 25.