Technology · Open for opinions
Will OpenAI formally announce joining an industry pact to limit AI advancement between 09/16 and 10/31/2026?
The market is discussing whether the apparent slowdown of big tech companies in developing frontier artificial intelligence will… 37 opinions, 70% No
- Yes — 30%
- No — 70%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 37 opinions
Resolution rules
The market is discussing whether the apparent slowdown of big tech companies in developing frontier artificial intelligence will result in an agreement or formal 'security pact' among industry leaders by October.
Source: www.theverge.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 16/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a OpenAI divulgar comunicado oficial aderindo a um pacto conjunto com ao menos outra grande empresa (como Google, Meta, Microsoft ou Anthropic) visando limitar, pausar ou desacelerar o treinamento de novas IAs até 31/10/2026. Verificação exclusiva pelo blog oficial da OpenAI (openai.com). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.