World · Open for opinions
Will Republicans maintain their majority in the US House of Representatives after the November 3, 2026 midterms?
With inflation at 3.7% annually and gasoline prices rising 9.1% in September, Democrats are tapping into economic discontent in the… 79 opinions, 52% No
- Yes — 48%
- No — 52%
Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
With inflation at 3.7% annually and gasoline prices rising 9.1% in September, Democrats are tapping into economic discontent in the midterms. Polls indicate that a majority of Americans blame tariff policies and the conflict in the Middle East for the high cost of living.
Source: www.newsweek.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada nos resultados oficiais certificados da Câmara dos Representantes após as eleições de 3 de novembro de 2026, conforme apurado pelo Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives (clerk.house.gov). Mercado resolve 'Sim' se o Partido Republicano conquistar 218 ou mais cadeiras.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.