Crypto · Open for opinions
Will Bitcoin trade below $81,000 between 10/19 and 10/31/2026?
Consider Bitcoin's price between 10/19 and 10/31 after markets priced in a 54% probability of a drop. 81 opinions, 72% No
- Yes — 28%
- No — 72%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider Bitcoin's price between 10/19 and 10/31 after markets priced in a 54% probability of a drop.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 19/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o preço do Bitcoin (BTC/USD) registrar valor inferior a US$ 81.000,00 em qualquer momento no índice oficial da Binance, Coinbase ou CoinMarketCap até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.