Politics · Open for opinions
Will the US Congress pass a bill banning candidate betting by November 30, 2026?
Consider the legislative process of the bill introduced in October between 10/07 and 11/30. 77 opinions, 86% No
- Yes — 14%
- No — 86%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 77 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider the legislative process of the bill introduced in October between 10/07 and 11/30.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 07/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a proposta de lei proibindo candidatos federais de operarem em mercados sobre suas próprias eleições for aprovada pelo Congresso dos EUA até 30/11/2026, conforme registrado em congress.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 86% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 14 points, a wrong one costs about 86.