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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the Selic rate reach 20% per year by March 2027?

Analyst reports cited by UOL Economia indicate that, without rigorous fiscal adjustment after the 2026 elections, interest rates… 28 opinions, 79% No

  • Yes — 21%
  • No — 79%

Deadline: March 13, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 28 opinions

Resolution rules

Analyst reports cited by UOL Economia indicate that, without rigorous fiscal adjustment after the 2026 elections, interest rates could reach 20% per year in the worst-case scenario.

Source: economia.uol.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido como 'Sim' se o Banco Central do Brasil fixar a taxa Selic em 20% ao ano ou mais em qualquer reunião do Copom até 31 de março de 2027. Fonte: Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br), ata ou comunicado oficial do Copom.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 79% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 21 points, a wrong one costs about 79.

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Will the Selic rate reach 20% per year by March 2027? — 79% No · VoxFi