Science · Open for opinions
Will the BIPM or NIST issue a formal opinion recommending the Thorium-229 nuclear clock for the second standard by November 30, 2026?
Considers official statements from metrology agencies between 10/11 and 11/30 following advances in the nuclear clock. 79 opinions, 75% No
- Yes — 25%
- No — 75%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers official statements from metrology agencies between 10/11 and 11/30 following advances in the nuclear clock.
Source: www.nature.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 11/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Bureau Internacional de Pesos e Medidas (BIPM) ou o NIST publicar recomendação formal ou relatório oficial adotando a transição nuclear do Tório-229 como padrão candidato para a redefinição do segundo no SI até 30/11/2026, nos portais bipm.org ou nist.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 75% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 25 points, a wrong one costs about 75.