Technology · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi win the legal battle against gambling regulators in the US by February 2027?
The Trump administration supported Kalshi and Polymarket in a legal dispute over whether prediction markets constitute… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The Trump administration supported Kalshi and Polymarket in a legal dispute over whether prediction markets constitute betting/gambling. The decision will define the regulatory framework for the sector in the US.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se um tribunal federal ou a CFTC emitir decisão final favorável à Kalshi reconhecendo prediction markets como contratos financeiros (não jogos de azar) até 2027-02-20. Fonte: comunicados oficiais da CFTC, decisões judiciais públicas nos EUA.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.