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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the accumulated primary deficit of the Brazilian central government in 2026 be below 1% of GDP?

Experts point to discussions surrounding public debt and budgetary challenges that the next government will need to face in Congress,… 78 opinions, 65% No

  • Yes — 35%
  • No — 65%

Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 78 opinions

Resolution rules

Experts point to discussions surrounding public debt and budgetary challenges that the next government will need to face in Congress, signaling significant fiscal pressure at the close of 2026.

Source: www.estadao.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve Sim se o relatório do Resultado do Tesouro Nacional referente ao acumulado de janeiro a dezembro de 2026 indicar déficit primário do governo central inferior a 1% do PIB. Fonte: Tesouro Nacional (tesouro.fazenda.gov.br).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.

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Will the accumulated primary deficit of the Brazilian central… — 65% No · VoxFi